Thursday, December 4, 2008

Nifty Future Analysis Based on Hourly Chart

Here is the Nifty Future Hourly Chart as on the close of 4th Dec, 2008. Looking at the chart, I have following observation:
Although many people are bullsih seeing the impressive upmove of Indian Stock Markets, I have some different view. The Hourly Chart shows a Downtrend Line and an Uptrend Line (which was breached decisively on 1st Dec and also the 200 Period SMA is coincidentally nearby.
  1. This uptrend line (and the accompanied rise) resembles more to a bearish rising wedge / channel , than a genuine, sustainable up move. In my previous post on Dec 1st, I expected resistance then and advised to initiate a short at near 2890, which was not reached. Considering Nifty Future has broken the rising wedge support (uptrend line), now that line should act as resistance.
  2. The two lines converge at about 2819 which should be big resistance now. So, bulls need to take this level with full force to counter bears and then try to conquer 2920 which is not very easy.
  3. The slow stochastic oscillator also signals a short term top, however, I still maintain my view that oscillators should not be given high importance in trending markets.
Looking at the picture, contrary to popular thinking, bears still have bigger hand as compared to bulls.


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  2. Hi Harish
    Rob here from SolReka. I just wanted to drop by and say thank you for all your kind comments on my blog.

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  3. Sol: Thanks buddy :) keep "dropping by"...

  4. Thanks for the information about nifty chart live analysis. With this we can examine the things properly.


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